China’s EV sales set to overtake traditional cars years ahead of west
www.ft.com
Volumes forecast to rise 20% next year, smashing international projections and Beijing’s official targets
  • MrMakabar@slrpnk.netEnglish
    1·
    14 days ago

    The first big thing to go will be refineries. They can only lower production by 20% of capacity. The number of refineries is rather low.

    • Tobberone@lemm.ee
      2·
      14 days ago

      How interesting. And it seems it has already begun:

      According to forecasts by Commodity Insights, refinery utilization rates will drop from around 84% in 2024 to 81% in 2027 as refiners adjust to a weaker margin environment, accelerating closures through 2029-2030.

      Close to 1 million b/d could be shuttered over 2029-2030, according to Commodity Insights forecasts, more than double the 473,000 b/d after the financial crisis (2007-2009) and well above the 656,000 b/d closed due to Covid-19 pressures (2019-2021).

      Germany and France, meanwhile, are another million electric cars not favouring the oil companies. Just China and Europe and already that is 15% of world demand for gas cars.

      Heavy transport and farming will take longer, but the push for electrification in transport is real.