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Joined 10 days ago
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Cake day: October 29th, 2026

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  • I will not post a link to it for privacy reasons, but I wrote an article on this the day before the original M1 was announced warning of this situation. Apples move to their own chipset meant that any attempts at maintaining compatibility would always end up behind the curve.

    I am surprised that Apple manage to keep their chips constantly changing as much as they do between generations. Most others seem to be on the ‘same but more’ path nowadays but Apple is still shifting the baseline almost yearly.

    The real issue will come if they lock down the boot loader.






  • I think the issue is that the drive train below them is the same. Who is in charge does have a BIG impact on some very key points but the larger general shape of something cannot be changed drastically.

    Alan watts once said that you would have to mad to want to be President because it is like nominating to be in charge of a runaway truck with no breaks. You can steer it in different directions but you also have somewhat limited agency. So long as the core funding structure below persists, you can only nudge things.

    I am not 100% convinced that if Democrats won 2024 election that we wouldn’t be in Iran right now. That said, if we were in Iran, it probably be a lot more sedate and measured. Probably be Also that is a big IF. I mean Democrats were the ones that spent 2 1/2 years negotiating a peace deal with them only to have Trump rip it up in his first term. I’m not saying it would be the same, but there would be the same pressures from below.

    So in that sense, it does matter who is in charge but we also need to tackle the base drive train.


  • It was Nate Hagens (The Great simplification podcast) who said this when he worked at Lehman Brothers about confidence. Don’t worry, he learned quickly that he was the bad guy and changed his ways completely.

    Anyway, when all the new recruits came in they gave them a pop quiz. It starts off simply “What is a derivative?” “How to bonds work?”, and with everyone being young an confident they all answer enthusiastically. Eventually they drop in a question that is really difficult and oddball that nobody would know, naturally everyone starts trying to formulate and answer only to have the teacher stop them. Teacher just says, “Don’t try to fake it, that helps no one. What you say is. I don’t know, I will find out, and I will get back to you.”

    You don’t have to have an answer to everything.