Humans are bad at probability, and that’s mostly why they gamble too.
Every wheel draw is supposed to be independent (it’s not totally so because computer “random” is really a pseudo-random algorithm, but close enough). So every time you draw, the odds are 1:4. Previous draws don’t matter.
On an infinitely large number of draws, you’d see a 1/4 success rate. This doesn’t mean you can’t fail a dozen times in a row (the probability of that is (3/4)^12, about 3%… It happens).
I don’t care what the dev says: that thing ain’t 1:4.
It’s 1:4 but everytime the card is played a new set of 1:4 starts, so fuck knows what the actual odds are.
Of course it does, or the odds wouldn’t be 1 in 4…
If you flip a coin, you “start” a new set of 1 in 2 odds too – that’s what makes it always 50/50
Humans are bad at probability, and that’s mostly why they gamble too.
Every wheel draw is supposed to be independent (it’s not totally so because computer “random” is really a pseudo-random algorithm, but close enough). So every time you draw, the odds are 1:4. Previous draws don’t matter.
On an infinitely large number of draws, you’d see a 1/4 success rate. This doesn’t mean you can’t fail a dozen times in a row (the probability of that is (3/4)^12, about 3%… It happens).
It’s always 1:4 then but that doesn’t mean in 4 goes you’re guaranteed a win.