In many of those states, if a fraction of the percentage that doesn’t vote did, it would matter. The numbers that’s based on (marginal percentages of known, reliable voters) mean the opposition party can’t unseat them, but in many cases, the doesn’t vote percentage absolutely can. Unfortunately a majority of eligible voters in those areas don’t vote for a variety of reasons, and that’s exactly why some people spend stupid amounts of money convincing you there’s no point in voting.
That works only on a hypothetical situation with no feedback loop. For example, whenever Texas is becoming competitive, Republicans invest more in turnout and they avoid the upset.
The votes don’t matter in the majority of states.
In many of those states, if a fraction of the percentage that doesn’t vote did, it would matter. The numbers that’s based on (marginal percentages of known, reliable voters) mean the opposition party can’t unseat them, but in many cases, the doesn’t vote percentage absolutely can. Unfortunately a majority of eligible voters in those areas don’t vote for a variety of reasons, and that’s exactly why some people spend stupid amounts of money convincing you there’s no point in voting.
That works only on a hypothetical situation with no feedback loop. For example, whenever Texas is becoming competitive, Republicans invest more in turnout and they avoid the upset.