This is a thread specifically for the war, not a general megathread (use the pinned /c/genzedong thread for that).
Please keep related news in this thread rather than making separate posts. Remember to include sources and avoid spreading rumours.
🛢 Vitol chief: the West has no oil inventories left to drain
Oil inventories in Western countries have been exhausted as a result of the US-Israeli war on Iran. That is the warning from Russell Hardy, CEO of Vitol Group, the world’s largest independent oil trader.
“There aren’t any more inventories to drain in the West. We drained the available inventory,” Hardy told the Energy Intelligence Forum in London on Tuesday, as reported by Bloomberg. He warned that fuel markets are likely to remain tight going into winter.
Hardy added that Gulf exports of around 12 million barrels of crude and 2 million barrels of refined products per day are all that is keeping the market balanced. “Without it, you do have that $200 per barrel scenario.”
A day earlier, the CEO of Saudi Aramco warned that less than 10% of the world’s 6 billion barrels of oil stockpiles is practically available because of logistics problems.
On Friday, the G7 and its partners announced the release of 100 million barrels of emergency reserves, after Washington pressured Europe to do more about soaring diesel prices. Hardy said the details of that release were “not fully transparent.”
All of this comes as US President Donald Trump weighs restarting major combat operations against Iran. He told Time magazine that renewed bombing after the November midterm elections is “possible,” and a third US aircraft carrier group is reportedly heading to the region.
🔴 @DDGeopolitics
https://t.me/DDGeopolitics/194861
If we cast aside common liberal framing of “Trump stupid,” the next logical step seems to be either 1) the US wants a market crash or 2) they’re genuinely caught in a vise
Pretty sure it isn’t trump that wants a market crash but the people who drive him do. The Malthusian/eugenic trend in the ruling class is pretty strong and I get the feeling they are going for a world wide human mass casualty event to “wipe the slate clean.” Of course that is a idealist and ignorant conception of what will happen but the ruling class aren’t half as smart as they think they are.
Incoming Zionist Drivel
❗️Israeli MK, Chairman of Yisrael Beytenu Party Avigdor Lieberman:
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"In about two and a half years, the United States will recognize a Palestinian state encompassing all of Judea and Samaria (the West Bank), the Jordan Valley, the Gaza Strip, and East Jerusalem. Every senior official in the US State Department and the National Security Council, every one of them, without exception, overwhelmingly supports such recognition.
This has not happened until now because Israel has managed to neutralize that dangerous position thanks to its very strong standing in American public opinion, and as a result has also enjoyed broad political support from both parties. But there is an iron rule in politics: the moment you lose public support, you lose political support.
Today, our standing in American public opinion is at an unprecedented low. The next president elected in about two years, whether Republican or Democrat, will move toward recognizing a Palestinian state, including advancing a UN Security Council resolution recognizing it as a full UN member state.
What Netanyahu is doing today is, in effect, knowingly helping establish a Palestinian state. Bibi will go down in history as the founder of the Palestinian state.
There are about two years until the next US elections. By then, the State of Israel must define its endgame regarding the Palestinian Authority and the territories of Judea and Samaria (the West Bank), the Jordan Valley, and the Gaza Strip.
Ignoring the problem, letting things drift, and waiting until they explode in our faces, that has been Netanyahu’s pattern of conduct over the years. That is how he ignored my warnings regarding Hamas in the Gaza Strip and delayed action until it exploded in our faces on October 7.
Abu Mazen (Mahmoud Abbas) has begun a planned and calculated process that will start on November 28 with elections for the Palestinian parliament, and from there lead to a broad confrontation with Israel that will accompany us until the US presidential elections in November 2028.
We must not sit idly by. Israel’s objective and endgame should be the elimination of Hamas in the Gaza Strip and the dismantling of the Palestinian Authority, including the cancellation of the Oslo Accords.
But because there is no vacuum in the world, and because Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad could seize control once the Palestinian Authority is dismantled, we must agree in advance with the international community on who will assume control and administration of Judea and Samaria (the West Bank) and the Gaza Strip.
I emphasize: I strongly oppose a return to the period of military rule and to Israeli responsibility for and administration of the daily lives of Palestinians in Nablus, Tulkarem, Rafah, Khan Yunis, and other cities.
Jordan could be the country that replaces the Palestinian Authority and manages the daily lives of Palestinians in Judea and Samaria (the West Bank), including maintaining public order through a police force. The Jordanians would not deploy an army or any force beyond the police.
Security responsibility for all of Judea and Samaria (the West Bank) would remain in the hands of the IDF (Israeli military). Security cooperation with Jordan has proven itself over decades. We share a 300-kilometer border. Aqaba borders Eilat, and the distance from the border to Beit She’an is five kilometers. The forces stationed along most of the border are Jordanian soldiers who maintain the calm.
As for Gaza, there are serious actors in the Arab world who would be willing to assume responsibility for daily life there, but that will happen only after Israel completes the task and eradicates Hamas’s rule.
This is my plan and the endgame I propose for resolving the Palestinian issue. I would be pleased to hear from the leaders of all the parties and understand what solutions and proposals they have on this issue."
https://t.me/thecradlemedia/69050
We’ve all seen this coming. Anyone whose been paying attention knew that the zionists will never stop until they’re forced out, but it’s still stomach churning to read. Although, frankly, I think some of their assumptions are either delusional or clearly untrue.
For one, the claim that Israel has 2 and a half years before the US recognizes a Palestinian state which encompasses the 67 borders is in my opinion fear mongering for other zionists. The US, even with a so called “progressive” president (socdem) is not going to stop supporting Israel. This is just a way to explain away why Israel is trying to accelerate the extermination of Palestine.
Frankly, I think the biggest issue with that claim is assuming Israel exists for another 2 and a half years. The more the US gets pushed out of the rest of the region and concentrated in Israel by Iran, the more vulnerable Israel becomes. The US and Israel can’t defeat Iran, as has been proven. If the zionist entity is the focus of Iran’s attacks, then I very much doubt their soceity can continue while being constantly bombarded.
Not to mention the resistance within Palestine itself will persist the the scenario of Israeli military rule.
“If the premises are true” does that mean USA will bomb Israel? /s because we already know
🇾🇪🇸🇦| New high-res satellite images show significant damage to Saudi Arabia’s ARAMCO facility south of Riyadh after they were subject to Yemen’s AnsarAllah attacks.
@FotrosResistancee
GIF: https://t.me/FotrosResistancee/24074
🇸🇦🇾🇪| Footage shows massive smoke coming from inside King Khalid Airport in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, after the Yemeni Armed Forces struck an aircraft there inside.
According to available footage, it looks like a parked Airbus plane from the Saudi Airlines that was destroyed.
• Air India announced temporary suspension of its flights to and from Riyadh
• Lufthansa also announced its suspension of its flights to and from Saudi Arabia until October 16.
Riyadh airport is now the most unsafe airport in the whole world.
@FotrosResistancee
#NothernSyria | NW #Aleppo Two Men from the Shia Community Killed by Gunmen
“Amer Ali Nouh” and “Mohammad Ahmad al-Sawtari” were shot and killed by a terrorist group this morning, October 8, 2026, while picking olives on their farmland near the town of al-Zahraa, a #Shia-majority town in the Aleppo countryside.
Oh. That’s where he sent the terrorists.
—❗️🇮🇷/🇮🇶 NEW: The Iranian drone attack against Erbil is still ongoing, several impacts have been reported
@Middle_East_Spectator
Videos: https://t.me/Middle_East_Spectator/37518?single
—❗️🇮🇶/🇮🇷 More footage of the direct impacts on Kurdish terrorist bases in Erbil
@Middle_East_Spectator
What the hell are Kurds doing over there! Is this really the time?!
Pardon my ignorance, but if the US loyalists are planning /acting on something, why wouldn’t it be the time?
What do you mean, may I ask?
Honestly I think Iran is trying to weaken imperial assets among the Kurds. That way they can fill the vaccume in Kurdish politics created by a US exit before Türkiye can.
Why are Kurdish organizations fighting Iran? I know they really want autonomy, but this is the worst possible time to carry out armed struggle for that. Did being a US vassal ever go well for the proleteriat and the peasantry?
Oh?! Lol. I thought you were questioning Iran. 🤦♀️
The Kurdistan movement has essentially been hollowed out of all its historic principles, leaving them to be vassels of the US. There has however been a recent split within the Kurdish political factions of Iraq (which hold the most power within the broader movement since Iraqi Kurdistan actually has “autonomy” from the Iraqi state). One side doesn’t want to get involved with Iran, and has even informed Iran about separatist attacks in an effort to avoid getting dragged into a wider conflict with Iran. The other side, armed and funded by the US and Israel, acts as the imperialists’ spear against Iran, though it’s been a complete failure.
The Kurds fighting on behalf of empire are the ones whose political project is entirely dependent on imperialist assistance. The condition of Kurds as a whole is irrelevant to their actions.
That would be great.
I was replying to
What the hell are they doing over there! Is this really the time?!
Turkish FM claims ‘no troops’ to fight Yemen, says Mecca pact ‘defensive’ only
Saudi Arabia is seeking help as its mercenary forces in Yemen suffer losses at the hands of Ansarallah
⭕️ According to Gaza’s Health Ministry, Israeli attacks over the past 24 hours killed 4 Palestinians and wounded 28 others.
Since the 11 October 2025 so-called ‘ceasefire,’ the death toll has reached 1,471, with 5,189 injured and 836 bodies recovered from beneath the rubble.
❗️Hormuz vessel traffic falls to lowest level in over two months
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The number of vessels passing through the Strait of Hormuz dropped to its lowest level in more than two months after tanker attacks in the strategic waterway reached their highest point last week since the start of the US-Israeli war on Iran, according to shipping data.
Seven commodity vessels crossed the strait on Tuesday, marking the lowest daily total since 23 July, data from analytics firm Kpler showed.
“Crude crossing the strait fell 27% from a wartime high the week before, to at least 10.1 million barrels a day,” Kpler analysts Emmanuel Belostrino and Yui Torikata wrote in a note on 6 October.
“That is back to its September average, but 74% of its pre-war level.”
The analysts said most of the decline came from ship-to-ship (STS) transfers in the Gulf of Oman, where cargo is transferred between tankers.
Meanwhile, crude exports from the Gulf of Oman coast and the Red Sea climbed to 6.7 million barrels per day, more than double their pre-war levels, helping offset supply losses through Hormuz.
As a result, overall West Asian crude exports remained around pre-war levels, the analysts said.
The number of vessels crossing the strait rose slightly to 10 on Wednesday, but remained far below the more than 20 recorded on both Sunday and Monday. More vessels entered the waterway than exited over the previous two days.
The figures do not include vessels that switched off their Automatic Identification System transponders to avoid detection.
LSEG data covering all vessels crossing the strait showed eight on Tuesday, split evenly between entries and exits, down from 14 the previous day.
The vessels included five oil tankers and the liquefied natural gas tanker Al-Mafyar, which loaded at Ras Laffan in Qatar and was scheduled to sail to Port Qasim in Pakistan, LSEG said.
(Reuters)
Turkiye’s fund crash and the fortunes behind it
The collapse of 131 funds has put Ankara’s economic policy and its well-connected investors under scrutiny.
By Fatih Yasli
Eritrean troops enter Ethiopia’s Tigray as renewed fighting raises fears of regional war
Ethiopia accuses Eritrea of supporting rebels in Tigray, while Asmara fears Addis Ababa is seeking to seize Eritrean territory to gain access to the Red Sea
I wish there was someone who could explain the situation between Eritrea and Ethiopia.
I posted a video that somewhat delved into that topic a little while ago, though it was more broadly about northern and Western Africa. If you go to my profile you should be able to find it if you like.
Thanks!
🇮🇷🇺🇸| For reasons not disclosed, schools in Kish Island, southern Iran, will be operating virtually next week.
This comes during heightened tensions and a possible renewal of war with the US. According to Axios (so always take it with a grain of salt) the Pentagon has instructed CENTCOM to finalize preparations for a possible resumption of major combat operations against Iran.
@FotrosResistancee
Pentagon orders CENTCOM to finalize plans to resume war on Iran: Report
US media says Israel will ‘work in tandem’ with the US in the upcoming attack, which will reportedly include ‘massive bombing’ of Iranian energy
Aside from the gulf regimes, I assume the targets will be Jordan, the Saudi regime, and the zionist entity?
I really don’t know what the empire thinks they’ll gain from this. At this point they should be aware this new phase in the war will likely end with all US military infrastructure in Jordan and Saudi Arabia being flattened and the zionist regime having nothing left to respond to Iran’s attacks.
I find it a little interesting Iran isn’t militarily targeting Turkiye, despite Türkiye being very pro-imperialist. Are there reasons for not doing so?
I find it a little interesting Iran isn’t militarily targeting Turkiye, despite Türkiye being very pro-imperialist. Are there reasons for not doing so?
My guess is they see Türkiye as being more independent then the rest, and potentially have a greater military capacity comparatively to the Gulf regimes, Saudia Arabia and Israel.
Türkiye actively deindustrialized Aleppo in Syria during the civil war. Essentially dismantling entire factories and reconstructing them in Türkiye.
In other words, they, unlike the rest of the West, likely have some matter of a domestic arms industry that is somewhat self sufficient.
Not to the mention the Russia factor. If Iran strikes Türkiye, then Türkiye may retaliate by giving problems to Russia in the black sea, causing issues for the war in Ukraine. This could be used as a dividing factor between Russia and Iran, so I’d imagine the Iranians don’t want to create problem for themselves in that respect.
I’d say that the end of the Ukraine war will probably be the thing that makes Iran take a more hardline stance against Türkiye, as then Türkiye would then lose a lot of leverage against Russia.
We’ve seen how Türkiye uses it’s geography to leverage Russia before, especially against Syria when Assad stupidly decided to go along with the freeze on the conflict.
These are only my assumptions though, so perhaps if other comrades have more to add, please do so.
I guess it makes more sense now with the context you added, although I understand these are only assumptions like you said. It kind of explains why they would be the absolute last place Iran would target, given its military power compared to the gulf regimes.
I do get your point regarding the Ukraine war. It’s probably best for Iran to wait until the war in Ukraine ends. To me, Türkiye’s independence and geography are probably some of the reasons for its rhetoric during the war in Ukraine, the zionist genocide, and the regional war in West Asia in general. It allows them to pose as a mediator while being a self serving participant in the empire’s colonization of West Asia.
❗️Brent crude tops $102 as regional tensions fuel supply fears
Brent crude rose above $102 a barrel on Thursday as escalating tensions in West Asia raised concerns over potential disruptions to regional oil supplies, Mettis Global reported.
Brent crude climbed 0.88% to $102.42 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) traded at $89.93 per barrel.
Markets were driven by reports that the US is considering resuming large-scale attacks against Iran in the coming weeks, including possible strikes ahead of next month’s midterm elections.
Recent retaliatory Ansarallah attacks on Saudi airports and Iranian actions against tankers in the Strait of Hormuz have also contributed to heightened supply concerns.
❗️Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said Tehran is expected to respond within the next few days to a US proposal as indirect negotiations between the two sides continue through mediators.
Speaking to reporters on Thursday, Araghchi said talks remain ongoing, with the two sides continuing to exchange messages through intermediaries.
“We presented our proposal, which was put forward under the title of the ‘seven-day plan,’ and we also heard the American side’s views in response,” he said.
“We are currently reviewing the Americans’ views, and I think we will present our response within the next few days,” he said.
Araghchi emphasized that negotiations are still underway, stressing that communication between Tehran and Washington continues through mediators.
(Tasnim News)
