- cross-posted to:
- technology@beehaw.org
- cross-posted to:
- technology@beehaw.org
Summary
Reddit shares have dropped 50% from their February peak, when the stock had soared over 500% from its $34 IPO price last March.
Much of the early enthusiasm came from AI-related deals allowing Reddit’s content to be used for training models, but recent doubts about long-term growth in the AI sector have dimmed that optimism.
Analysts remain skeptical and some call the stock “super overvalued,” noting Reddit still is not making any money.
Market uncertainty and early investor sell-offs continue to weigh on Reddit and the broader tech sector.
This “company” has no real path to profitability to speak of.
There are plenty of well-funded organizations willing to pay good money to shift various Overton windows. Especially now that Google is so enshitified that people append “Reddit” to the end of searches.
Yeah I mean there’s that but the reddit demo uses ad blockers frequently and ad-based content on reddit is already probably not that profitable. There’s a lot of people running astroturf campaigns for various things, but how are you seeing revenue out of that? Some schmuck buying the wrong type of portable speaker because of a crappy recommendation won’t add to reddit’s bottom line when it’s the speaker maker’s internal marketing intern. If anything, it’ll just further cause people to lose confidence in them.
The only path they had toward profitability was feeding all of their user data into AIs for revenue from AI companies, but chatbots are also unprofitable and that revenue probably won’t even cover the costs to run the servers, and besides how many companies are going to be dumb enough to pay for that privilege? We’re talking about folks that already stole every piece of artwork, literature, and news article they could get their grubby little mitts on. Why would they continue to pay reddit?
Ultimately the biggest conceit of the “attention economy” is the idea that attention automatically translates into dollars.
(And they’re bleeding attention too.)