Please keep related news in this thread rather than making separate posts. Remember to include sources and avoid spreading rumours.
Please keep related news in this thread rather than making separate posts. Remember to include sources and avoid spreading rumours.
thinking out loud:
Maybe this war isn’t a massive blunder on the part of the usa but intentional loss and a scorched earth move against China.
Maybe this is a putsch in usa against the old school imperialists, by giving them what they want. The silicon valley-bougies are using the war to force out the old financial bougies. By getting a bunch of bases obliterated by a middle power they can force the closure of the rest in order to invest the budget inside usa. The depletion of weapons stocks is proving the us arms manufactures aren’t up to the job of projecting power or even defending usa pushing a seizure of the weapons grifters for failure to meet contracts and then retool them to be more efficient and under the management of silicon valley billionaires.
The new guard’s plan to destroy West Asia completely and with it 30% of world oil production and 17% of LNG to boost the value of their own production and make Venezuela a more valuable win. The complete destruction of the gulf monarchies can also get usa off the hook for all the debt and investments they owe the gulf. This is a major benefit to US energy producers but also to Russia and a detriment to China.
So the national defense strategy document wasn’t kidding about consolidation in the Americas, it just omitted that it was going to scorched earth the whole world on its way back home. usa is banking on having the time to rejigger its military to be ready for ww3 by using an energy crisis to slow everyone down.
I don’t think this analysis is beyond the pale, but it is a hugely risky move.
Skipping past all the questions of viability, I have a question beyond that - if it turns out to be viable and the US starts reindustrializing, does the world decide that the risk is too high and intervene?
To me this sounds a bit far fetched. I’m not going to say it’s impossible but it does seem unnecessarily convoluted when a far simpler explanation fits the fact pattern just as well: delusional hubris from supremacist psychopaths.
This was specifically an exercise in trying to avoid those obvious conclusions. We are dealing with some devious fuckers and its probably a bad idea to just think they are idiots.
This possibility can be true, however, I still think the US economy is much more sensitive to oil shocks, despite being a de-industrialized economy. China can resort to coal and nuclear, has a more diverse energy infrastructure and can decrease production in case buyers from the whole world dry up. Not to mention that oil is the fuel of sea trade, the US cannot simply replace goods from China because it does not have an industry anymore. IMHO, the scorched earth policy will hurt far more the US than it will hurt China.