Please keep related news in this thread rather than making separate posts. Remember to include sources and avoid spreading rumours.
❗️ Updates on Lebanon:
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Lebanese Gov announced its ready to talk with Israel directly under any format outside Lebanon
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Lebanon’s PM and President are furious about the Lebanese army statement about the countering of the Israeli raid in Nabi Cheet in the presence of “local armed support”
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Lebanese state, while hesitant to replace the army commander", is already discussing other names
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France’s Macron called Netanyahu about Lebanon. Israel didn’t say what it intends to do nor showed any promises. They are busy in Iran and only inflicting damage on Lebanon so far.
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Almost ALL Lebanese political parties are rallying against Hezbullah.
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PM Nawaf will meet the commander of the Lebanese army soon, to implement the decree to outlaw Hezbullah’s military and security apparatus.
Nawaf is expected to rebuke Haykel over the army’s statement and actions
Call me an accelerationist but I want the Lebanese “government” to keep pushing this line of thinking.
Fucking cowards
I have a question, why does the Lebanese government happens to have such a hate honer against Hezbollah when it’s like the only thing protecting them from becoming part of Greater Israel? Like seriously, why is it? And do all Lebanese officials and military officials share it or are there allies of Hezbollah too that actually love their country’s freedom
Sadly, I don’t know the detailed answer. However, it helps to see the Lebanese gov’t as a neocolonial gov’t that follows the interests of the US and Israel. That’s the only explanation that I have because they are willing to disarm the resistance while never asking Israel to disarm or even to maintain the ceasefire(Israel has violated the ceasefire so many times and even attacked the UN army).
Lol the army has the opportunity to do something very funny.
Political power grows out of the tip of a wagging finger
- Chuck Schumer
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Does Israel gain or lose from rising oil prices? Genuinely have no clue what their logistics supply chain is so :p
Net neutral. Though it imports its energy, its backer, the US is a net exporter and it will offset Israeli losses.
Israel is not a petrol state AFAIK, relying on imports for 99% of its consumption.
Israel’s not even a state, dude
As far as I can recall, Israel is not the one footing the bill but the whole West. Israel’s existence depends on the West support.
With that context, a better question will be if the West can sustain themselves with oil prices over $120+ USD.
🇺🇸🇸🇦🇮🇷| It appears that the US is evacuating its Air Force tankers from its Saudi Arabia base.
These tankers had been supporting bombing operations in Iran, and now they have been evacuated to Europe, out of Prince Sultan Airbase.
The evacuation comes after intense attacks on the base last night.
@FotrosResistancee
🇮🇷🇺🇸🇹🇷| Turkey announced an Iranian ballistic missile was intercepted in Turkish airspace by NATO systems in the eastern Mediterranean.
@FotrosResistancee
I really hope if nothing else this war teaches countries that hosting a US Military base is not a risk free endevor no matter what the US says
🇺🇸🇮🇷🇹🇷| The US used one of its expensive SM-3 interceptors to down the Iranian ballistic missile heading towards its base inside Turkey.
This base is crucial and one of the most difficult (geopolitically) for Iran. This base has one of the remaining AN/TPY-2 radars.
@FotrosResistancee
This was just a test. They’ll get it.
🇮🇷| Iran’s IRGC Navy says it carried out an offensive operation against American terrorists, striking the “Al-Udayri Helicopter Base” (Camp Buehring) in Kuwait with various drones and cruise missiles.
The announcement says this highly significant operation, foiled operational plans, and eyewitnesses and informed sources reported a panicked evacuation from the base.
In this attack, 11 highly important targets at the base were hit by several missiles and drones.
Among the destroyed targets were the base’s fuel tanks, gas tanks, the American helicopters’ ramp, logistics and support facilities, and the base’s infrastructure installations.
@FotrosResistancee
A missile destroyed Israel’s SES Satellite Station Ha’Ela Valley, just south of Beit Shemesh.
@FotrosResistancee
Video in https://t.me/FotrosResistancee/19592
The pic before it got destroyed
In the previous megathread, someone posted about unrest in Bahrain, and the monarch supposedly fleeing the country.
Does anyone have more information on that? I don’t think the monarch fleeing thing was correct, but I’ve heard Whispers of the Shia population being very displeased with their sunni monarch playing along with the US.
For now and as far as I checked, there are no official channels from either side that have spoken about it.
If I get confirmation, I will share it here.
Thank you o7
Let’s hope we get Islamic Revolution 2.0 in Bahrain
So if it required 500000+ American troops to invade Iraq given all the advantages they had, would it even be possible to start an invasion of Iran with 1 million+? Even getting into the gulf is difficult rn and theyd probably have to call up every reservist they have to start it. But…I mean, you never know with this admin
A million men wouldn’t be nearly enough. Iran had around a million men in their army before the war. The Sâzmân-e Basij-e Mostaz’afin is a 25 million strong paramilitary organization with another 600k men ready for deployment. Who knows how many men they could have in the time it took usa to organize a million men and logistic support.
The country is like a natural fortress and Iran would be fighting like Hezbollah does. Ambushes and small unit tactics with drone and short range missile strikes that usa has next to no experience against. They wouldn’t get past the welcome mat.
Plus those troops would be having an actual will to fight unlike the American ones and I doubt the American troops happen to have any eagerness for martyrdom. Besides, Iran would definitely have an even bigger fighting force considering Shia Muslims (and even some Sunni Muslims) from Pakistan and Afghanistan might sneak in to fight beside Iranians. Same for the Iraqis.
LOL, the US through Lindsey Graham just threatened the Saudi regime. 😂
Like any defense agreement is for Saudi benefit and not the US’s
“Capable” and “Saudi military” should never be put together by a serious person
If the Gulf monarchies began expanding and empowering their militaries they would be couped in a heartbeat. A national army of citizens would depose them for being the traitors to their own people that they are.
I can’t stop laughing every time they put “the Kingdom” and followed up by “the Iranian regime”.
🇺🇦🇺🇸 Now, with the US war on Iran, Daddy has no time for Ukraine.
Honestly I just want the front to collapse already. I’m so sick of this guy, the conflict, all of it. Honestly I’m surprised Putin hasn’t pulled a trump and tried just blowing up/kidnapping Zelensky. Maybe that’d work
Ain’t like Ukraine hasn’t repeatedly tried a decapitation strike either.
If anything i think what we have seen vindicates Putin’s decision to not go there. Decapitation strikes don’t work out the way you think they will. Besides, Zelensky is incredibly unpopular and incredibly incompetent.
🔴America hid its air defense behind the oil reservoirs of the regional countries!
The responsibility for future incidents lies with Trump!
“Dr. Morandi,” political analyst:
🔹 I have been informed that the Trump regime has deployed some of its launchers and air defense systems near the oil reservoirs of the regional countries and fires from those locations.🔹 If bigger incidents occur during attacks on these centers, the blame lies with Trump and the regimes that allowed them to be present and fire from their soil.
Source -> https://t.me/sarbazane_g/122426
My opinion: Trump is about to lose control of the narrative and risk severe backlash over economic conditions. So he’s going to pull a Bush Jr. and claim Mission Accomplished. Let’s hope Iran keeps on attacking and piles on the pressure. If this goes on for another week then Trump’s own base will abandon him. Marjorie Taylor Green and Tucker Carlson have abandoned Trump and MTG’s comments were extremely ruthless. She’s pointed out that Americans are suffering from high costs of rent and insurance and that the war is a betrayal. Trump can’t risk a backlash from working class Americans and he may try to exit the war. His hope is that Iran goes into a civil war then he can pretend to wash the blood off his hands and go back to blaming “moolars” and “radical islam” and “terrible people”. Afterward, Trump (or a future president) can come back in the future and finish off Iran. That can’t be allowed to happen. MAXIMUM PRESSURE on Trump plz, both in Hormuz Strait and inside the U.S. Just one more week will ruin Trump and change the narrative against him. Missiles and drones away!
Trump comments suggest he may be ready to declare victory 09:18 BBC
Is Donald Trump ready to declare victory in the Iran war? His comments to CBS News seem to suggest this.
Of course, what victory means in a war whose goals were vague and frequently contradictory is not entirely clear.
The president has said that Iran’s military has been significantly degraded. “There’s nothing left,” he told CBS.
But if the goals were to definitively eliminate the nation’s nuclear programme or to shepherd in a more US-friendly government, the success has been much less certain.
Trump was starting to feel the heat, however. Over the weekend, oil prices had shot up to more than $120 a barrel. American stock market futures and foreign exchanges indexes were sinking. By yesterday evening, Trump had posted on social media that higher oil was a “small price to pay” for US and global security.
Following Trump’s assurances on Monday afternoon that an end is in sight, the US stock market rebounded and oil prices dropped precipitously.
That may reflect a firm belief that the president is, in fact, planning to wrap up his military operation and fears of a protracted regional conflict were overstated.
Or it could be wishful thinking. History has proven that starting war may be easy, but ending one – particularly in the Middle East – is much more challenging.
pic
Does Trump even has any real power left to “declare victory” and walk away? Iran lost the equivalent of a pope and that’s quite serious for those guys, plus all that national pride being wounded and all that. Sure, he can if he throws Israel under the bus by blaming everything on it and walks away
Trump can’t declare victory until he establishes 1) military dominance over Iran; or 2) a civil war in Iran (to be blamed on moolars and terrible people and islamists) he will destroy Iran and then pretend it was the other guy’s fault.
The best outcome is that Americans start rioting like they did on 6th of January 2021. Keep in mind that was just angry boomers who love muscle cars and bacon jokes on Facebook. The only proper unrest against Trump will come from enraged millennials and gen z. A combination of the left and the right. Because everyone is sceptical about Trump now, so it’s just a matter of time until you see the protests and gas riots emerge. Forget about principles or ideology, just get angry at the right moment lol. I really hope it happens but it depends on Iran’s ability to cut off oil supplies and damage market confidence. The best thing anyone can do is spread anti-trump propaganda online.
Here’s how you do it.
- sign up for Le Freeze Peach website such as Gab
- join a Trump supporter group
- post Le Epic Memes about Trump being a moron
profitengagement! You’ll be amazed at how much Trump’s own supporters laugh at his stupidity.
Example:
https://gab.com/jeff_mitchell/posts/116201309904366189
Result: people on the American right start to mock Trump and call him a jackass, whilst sharing ai videos of Netanyahu bum-jacking Trump on the deck of an aircraft carrier. People will then send the memes on Signal or WhatsApp and it just snowballs from there. Eventually I like to think that 100,000 MAGA people and communists arrive at the White House fence and stomp on MAGA caps. That’d be almost as good as MLK’s plan to plonk a thousand homeless men in D.C. certainly one for the history books. People in America need to get ready to make a convoy to travel to D.C. and have a mass protest against Epic Fury. There is no point sitting this one out, it can actively be stopped by sabotaging public opinion with memes and protests to ruin Trump’s image and make him lose legitimacy.
I’m sure the Trump admin do want to end the war, but my question then is: how confident are we that Iran will let them?
Iran has made it very clear that they will not negotiate until the US-Israel threat has been neutralized, knowing that, how likely is it that Iran will accept so much as a ceasefire before they finished off every last US bases in the region? Especially after so many of the previous “ends of hostilities” were ploys to buy time so that the enemy could regroup and strike again later? I think that, unless the US is willing to abandon all their bases and puppets in the region, they are in for the long while whether they want to or not.
🎥 US Congress Representative:
▪️I am willing to bet that with our actions in Iran, we have kicked a beehive and now face a determined leadership tougher than his father, right next to the arteries through which 25% of the world’s energy passes…
Excerpt of the interview here -> https://t.me/sarbazane_g/122432
Sowing: “hahaha fuck yes!” Reaping: “ah what the fuck??”
