This is a thread specifically for the war, not a general megathread (use the pinned /c/genzedong thread for that).

Please keep related news in this thread rather than making separate posts. Remember to include sources and avoid spreading rumours.

Previous megathread

  • rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml
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    2 days ago

    — 🇮🇱 It’s now 2026, a reality check for Israel after 3 years of war:

    🇵🇸 Gaza front:

    – Hamas has not been disarmed after almost three years of war.

    – Tunnel infrastructure in Gaza is intact, rocket arrays being slowly rebuilt.

    – Al-Qassam has approximately 25,000 fighters, the same amount as before Oct 7th.

    – No sign of an interim government, Hamas is still politically in control of Gaza.

    🇱🇧 Lebanon front:

    – Hezbollah has not been disarmed, neither North nor South of the Litani.

    – Hezbollah’s leadership has successfully reorganized and decentralized, and is now more resistant to assassination strikes than before.

    – Hezbollah retains the capability to launch long-range and medium-range rockets, drones and missiles into Israel.

    – The increasing use of FPV drones has rendered northern Israeli settlements into ghost towns, and significantly degraded the IDF’s freedom of movement in southern Lebanon.

    🇮🇷 Iran front:

    – The Islamic Republic is still firmly in power, and perhaps even more entrenched than before.

    – Iran’s ballistic missile program, drone force, and conventional capabilities are almost entirely intact and capable of threatening Israel.

    – Iran still possesses a large stockpile of highly-enriched uranium, nuclear breakout time is still at ~6 months to a year.

    – The Strait of Hormuz is now under Iranian control.

    – Most U.S. bases in the region have been rendered unusable and Israel’s Gulf allies are in the weakest position they’ve ever found themselves.

    🇾🇪 Yemen front:

    – Ansarallah (Houthis) still control the majority of Yemen.

    – Houthis still possess hundreds of ballistic missiles and thousands of drones, capable of targeting Israel.

    – The Bab Al-Mandab can be closed at any moment.

    In strategic terms, Israel has achieved nothing in all these three years.

    Except the destruction of Gaza’s civilian population and infrastructure.

    • Commiejones@lemmygrad.ml
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      2 days ago

      Iran still possesses a large stockpile of highly-enriched uranium, nuclear breakout time is still at ~6 months to a year.

      Ted Postol puts it at weeks or months and he knows this stuff.

    • guolai@lemmygrad.ml
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      2 days ago

      It’s nice to read this reality check after just a barriage of news on the damn Zionists commiting atrocities without any reprisal. Obviously, things are still horrid in Palestine and Southern Lebanon but it’s nice to see some aspects of their failures while everywhere on the internet moves to slience their critics and failures.

      • cfgaussian@lemmygrad.ml
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        2 days ago

        It’s important to remember that atrocities aren’t victories. More often they signal impotence and defeat.